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  - Dow Continues to Hug 11,000
at 2006-07-09 19:40:33

As I mentioned on June 15th (see "Slowing Down as we Approach Dow 11,000"), and reiterated on June 16th (Dow 11,000: Welcome to "No Man's Land") the Dow is staying around the 11,000 mark until it g


Source - http://www.johnmugarian.com/archives/2006/06/dow_continue_to_hug_11000.html

  - Ethanol Demand Can Spark More Inflation
at 2006-07-09 19:40:33

All the talk about ethanol being our savior from higher energy prices down the road is a little misleading. As the U.S. tries to become more energy independent with alternatives like turning corn into ethanol, they are missing a very important result of that process.

While ethanol can be used as a gasoline additive (10%), using ethanol in any greater capacity can create a snowball effe


Source - http://www.johnmugarian.com/archives/2006/06/ethanol_demand_can_spark_higher_inf...

  - Bend Your Knee's
at 2006-07-09 19:40:33

With all of the talk about the economy possibly coming in for a soft landing, I can't help but think of an important component in skydiving; Like most jumps or falls, the severity of the impact depends on whether or not you "Bend You Knee's."

If what we have been experiencing the last 44 months is a cyclical bull rally, then eventually the next leg of the bear market will resume. When i


Source - http://www.johnmugarian.com/archives/2006/06/bend_your_knees.html

  - "Surface Anatomy" Investing
at 2006-07-09 19:40:33

I always try to give investors some common sense analogies and conceptual ideas to get my point across. Why? Because no one likes to watch a techno geek pointing to lines on a chart, or sit and watch a financial commentator prognosticate what the next Fed move will be. To the average investor lines and squiggles mean very little, and commentary of what the Fed will or will not do border on a wa


Source - http://www.johnmugarian.com/archives/2006/06/surface_anatomy_investing.html

  - Locking in Yield's
at 2006-07-09 19:40:33

I know its boring, but I have been aggressively locking in some yields on cd's and corporate bonds. Since I continue to believe we are at the end of this 44 month cyclical bull market, the summer rally that many are betting on may or may not happen.

The Dow is locked in a trading range of about 250 points north or south of the 11,000 mark. Until the market receives confirmation of a Fed


Source - http://www.johnmugarian.com/archives/2006/06/locking_in_yields.html

   
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