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Weekly Outlook at 2006-02-06 23:45:56
Click here for The Week Ahead by Reuters
There are a number of economic reports and some significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.
Economic reports for the week include:
Mon. - Personal Income, Personal Spending, PCE Deflator Tues. - 4Q Employment Cost Index, Consumer Confidence, Chicago Purchasing Manager, FOMC Rate Decision Wed. - Construction Spending, Pending Home Sales, ISM Manufacturing, ISM Prices Paid, Total Vehicle Sales Thur. - Non-farm Productivity, 4Q Unit Labor Costs, Initial Jobless Claims Fri. - Change in Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, Univ. of Mich. Confidence, Factory Orders, ISM Non-Manufacturing
Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:
Mon. - Aflac Inc.(AFL), Checkpoint Software(CHKP), Cummins Inc.(CMI), Eastman Kodak(EK), Exxon Mobil(XOM), Gilead Sciences(GILD), Kraft Foods(KFT), Mattel Inc.(MAT), Schering-Plough(SGP), Sysco Corp.(SYY), Tyson Foods(TSN), Zimmer Holdings(ZMH) Tues. - Allstate(ALL), Altria Group(MO), Archer-Daniels-Midland(ADM), Chicago Merc(CME), Chiron Corp.(CHIR), Chubb Corp.(CB), Constellation Energy(CEG), Cooper Cameron(CAM), Diebold(DBD), Flextronics(FLEX), Google Inc.(GOOG), Hilton Hotels(HLT), Illinois Tool Works(ITW), JetBlue Airlines(JBLU), Kellogg(K), Knight Ridder(KRI), L-3 Communications(LLL), Merck & Co.(MRK), Phelps Dodge(PD), Symantec(SYMC), United States Steel(X), Valero Energy(VLO), Wythe(WYE) Wed. - Anheuser-Busch(BUD), Boeing(BA), Boston Scientific(BSX), Duke Energy(DUK), HCA Inc.(HCA), JDS Uniphase(JDSU), MBIA Inc.(MBI), MGM Mirage(MGM), Monster Worldwide(MNST), Pitney Bowes(PBI), Pulte Homes(PHM), Starbucks(SBUX), Time Warner(TWX), Tribune(TRB) Thur. - Allergan(AGN), Amazon.com(AMZN), Avon Products(AVP), Cerner Corp.(CERN), Clorox(CLX), Comcast Corp.(CMCSA), CVS Corp.(CVS), Electronic Arts(ERTS), International Paper(IP), Intuitive Surgical(ISRG), Linens ‘n Things(LIN), Ratheon(RTN), Royal Caribbean(RCL), Sara Lee(SLE), Starwood Hotels(HOT), Tyco International(TYC), Maytag Corp.(MYG), Moody’s(MCO) Fri. - THQ Inc.(THQI), Wendy’s International(WEN), Weyerhaeuser(WY), Whirlpool(WHR)
Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:
Mon. - CSFB Energy Summit Tue. - Citigroup Financial Services Conference, CSFB Energy Summit, OPEC Meeting Wed. - Citigroup Financial Services Conference, Merrill Lynch IT Services & Software Conference, CSFB Energy Summit Thur. - CSFB Energy Summit, Merrill Lynch IT Services & Software Conference Fri. - Merrill Lynch IT Services & Software Conference, CSFB Energy Summit
BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly higher on more dovish Fed comments, diminishing inflation worries, a healthy job market, less irrational pessimism over earnings, more general optimism, lower energy prices, short-covering and “catch-up” buying. My trading indicators are now giving bullish signals and the Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.
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