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  - Ben "Helicopter" Bernanke Could Land At The Fed Chair - Shares Soar - UPDATED
  - The Problem Is not A(lan) Or B(en) - It is W.
  - The Wells Are Running Dry
  - History Reserves A Sad Place For The Next Fed Boss
  - Insanity Of The Day: Get Rich With Credit Card Backed FX Trading
  - US GDP Growth Through Govt. Spending - And Other Frightening Figures
  - Heap Of New Data, FOMC and Greenspan Testimonial Suggest Volatile Week Ahead
  - CORRECTED - Euro Members Dump Gold As Seen Only In April 2005
  - FOMC Keeps "Measured" Language - Leaves Room For Speculation
   

 
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Equity curve for Trading System no2.

382% Model portfolio performance for 2005!


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Heads Up
at 2006-03-22 12:06:59

When Graeme Frost received an e-mail notice that an expensive digital camera had been charged to his credit card account, he immediately clicked on the Internet link included in the message that said it would allow him to dispute the charge. As the 29-year-old resident of southwestern England scoured the resulting Web page for the merchant’s phone number, the site silently installed a password-stealing program that transmitted all of his personal and financial information.

Beware the keylogger. I checked out CounterSpy by Sunbelt Software (company mentioned in the article) and it scored highly on head-to-head tests with others.

Now you just might think, Windows



The Movie Business
at 2006-03-22 12:06:58
After the Oscars last week, I was thinking about movies. Movie theaters are seeing declining attendance. I think it was down 8% last year from the year before. Why is that?

First, home theaters are pretty nice these days. I often mention the long lines at Best Buy every weekend. Folks are setting up their plasma TVs and big screens, and wiring in surround sound. Instead of fighting traffic, parking, paying nearly $10 a ticket, another $10 for a soda and popcorn, sitting behind someone with big hair and in front of someone who kicks your chair and talks through the movie, the alternative is sitting on your sofa munching on corn chips and watching a DVD on your big screen.

Getting movies to your house is easier than ever. You don't have to drive anywhere anymore. Most cable and satellite companies have video on demand these days. Netflix will let you shop online and send you the movies. A new service n some areas gives



Investor Sentiment and March Madness
at 2006-03-22 12:06:58

  • There is a big debate going on between those who think everyone is bullish vs everyone who thinks everyone is bearish. Just who is right? An interest column is up at Decisionpoint that graphs the market vs. the Investors Intelligence survey.  (See link for chart).  Excerpt:

"...a divergence has developed in the Investors Intelligence Advisor Sentiment poll that I have to interpret as bullish. Note on the chart below how the percentage of bulls has dropped, the percentage of bears has increased, and the Bull/Bear Ratio is at its lowest point since the August 2004 low, which marked the end of the longest and deepest correction of the current bull market. "

  • I've been saying the same thing that they mention at Decision point.  Normally, as the market rises sentiment becomes more bullish.  But this time, we've seen the number of bears increase.  Am



    Market Thoughts
    at 2006-03-22 12:06:58
    Another fun-filled day in the market, with the market starting up early and reversing and trending down the rest of the day. The good news is that advancer led decliners, yet everyone seemingly remains pessimistic. Folks keep expecting a rotation into large caps, since small caps have outperformed in recent years. I'm diversified, but did increase beta in the last half of last week with some semiconductors and small caps.

    While February tends to be weak and March tends to be strong, we haven't seen that play out this year. March often times sees a low and a strong rally. March often times sees a temporary top in the market, too. We are in an election year, and can't ignore the possibility of the typical 4-yr election swoon. However, with bearishness this high (as noted yesterday), it's hard to believe that those bears aren't already out of the market. The only thing they can do now to influence the market is to cover shorts o



    The Biggest Show in Cramerica!
    at 2006-03-22 12:06:58

    When I first started listening to realmoney radio on my nightly jogs last year, I'd hear Cramer mention a stock or two and mention why he liked it.  Sometimes his fundamental reason for liking a stock would grab my curiosity, so I'd look it up and run it through my Black Box and see if it looked interesting from my vantage point.  Sometimes it did.  Usually it didn't.

    But the show has lost the ability to provide me with any sort of fundamental value.  Just the mention of a stock can send it rising or falling almost immediately.  Whatever interest I may have had in a stock suddenly is wiped away as the stock gaps in one direction.  It seems as if those who watch the TV show are tuning into the radio show, trying to get a preview of what



 

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