my newest position -- Overhill Farms (OFI) at 2006-03-22 12:07:02
OFI is a stock that came across my radar screen via VIC. Before I begin, note that OFI is a microcap stock and my track record with stocks in this area is poor. But these mistakes have been in the sexy sectors -- biotech, medtech, any tech. One difference here is that OFI is decidedly unsexy. OFI manufactures frozen food products (entrees, meal components, soups, sauces, poultry,meat, fish). The current share price is $3.66, market cap of $55 million. FY05 sales were $162.6 million.
Here's what I like about OFI:
Sales were up 21.4% in 2005
Income statement ratios moving in the right direction (05 vs. 04)--GM% at 12.2% vs. 10.7%, SGA% at 4.8% vs. 6.0%, Op margin 7.3% vs. 4.7%.
Panda Restaurants and Jenny Craig are OFI's two largest customers (combined 50% of business). Both have been growing smartly.
OFI's move into a new maufacturing facility seems to have been behind the op. expense improvement at the co. OFI still has excess capacity at that plant to "grow into."
Possibility of re-financing of debt--OFI has a 10/31/06 note that carries an interest rate of 13.5%. Re-financing that debt (maybe to the 7% range) would make a big dent in the int. expense that shows up on the income statement.
OFI is pretty cheap--They earned $0.24 in 2005 (15x trailing) and I think that number can move materially higher based on the discussion above--sales growth at the 2 large clients, op expense improvements, debt refinancing.
OFI insiders hold about 20% of the shares.
Risks:
Client concentration (Panda and Jenny Craig). Also airlines are a big piece of the pie. This is a bit disconcerting due to many airlines deciding to cut back on in-flight meals. However, OFI has managed to keep this part of the business around $30 million in the past 3 years.
Not much volume--20k or 30k per day
The re-financing doesn't happen.
OFI had hired Piper Jaffrey to explore alternatives for the co. The risk here is that Piper's recommendation, if followed, might be suboptimal to the shareholders.
Blog Source - http://www.investorintelligence.blogspot.com/atom.xml
|