Trading Systems blogs
Home  
 

 
Categories


Stock market
Stock Trading articles
Trading Blogs
Best of ...
Elite Traders
Elite Traders#2
Technical trading blogs
Day trading blogs
   

 
Archives

News for July, 2006

News for May, 2006

News for April, 2006

News for March, 2006

News for February, 2006

News for January, 2006

   
 

Equity curve for Trading System no2.

382% Model portfolio performance for 2005!

Please note that all the content is copywritted by the original Blog's author!


 
Energy Prices Dominate Markets
at 2006-01-05 09:08:31

Happy New Year to all! Before I get started, I would like to thank everyone for the kind words, and appreciation for what I do. Unfortunately when you have a "free" blog, or website, it is open to everyone and anyone. This potentially can create an opportunity for someone to express themselves in an inappropriate and disrespectful manner.

Sometime this year, I hope to have our Sector Rotation Newsletter available for subscribers. This will be a "paid" service, and I can give more detailed and actionable investment advice.

For the past three weeks, I have been working on the Sector Rotation Model to identify the best sectors for January 2006. In the Sector Rotation newsletter, I will make changes to the model to make sure that our investors are always in the best performing sectors.

2006 STOCK MARKET

For trend followers, 2005 was a very disappointing year. In the Stock Traders Almanac, they built a case for why years ending in "5" are normally positive. Of course, 2005 was historically very disappointing.

As 2005 came to a close, the indexes essentially went nowhere:

DJIA -.61%
S&P +3.00%
NASDAQ +1.37%

Since bouncing off the bear market markets lows from 2001-2002, the markets performance in 2004 and 2005 were essentially flat. 2006 looks to be the set up year for a new bull market.

The best scenario is a steep decline in the first 6-9 months of 2006, followed by a combination of events that could trigger a powerful rally into year-end. What could the catalyst for the new bull:

Energy Prices Decline- As the economy slows, demand for energy will soften, and so will the demand for raw materials.

Fed Reverse Course- the Federal Reserve not only stops raising rates, but reverse course, and begins lowering rates.



Blog Source - http://www.johnmugarian.com/index.rdf
 


Last 10 Posts
   
  - Tom Cruise Couldn't Show Viacom the Money

  - Rob Black's Media Stock Report

  - IMAX Accounting and Legal Woes Make It a Sell

  - Lionsgate Films: Decent Company, But Not Worth the Margin Exposure

  - Rob Black's Media Stock Report

  - CBS Holds Hidden Value

  - Imax: How to Ruin a Great Company

  - CBS's CEO Proves "Les is More"

  - E.W. Scripps Company: An Unconventional Bursting Housing Bubble Play

  - TiVo's Ballooning Subscriber Acquisition Costs

   


Home| Members Only | Trading Articles | Subscribe | FAQ | Disclaimer | Privacy policy